Analysis of Trends in COVID-19 Mortality and Cure Based on Statistical Data between Provinces Indonesia
Keywords:
COVID-19, CFR, CRR, provincial area, descriptive quantitativeAbstract
This study aims to analyze trends in deaths and recoveries from COVID-19 in Indonesia during the period 2020 to 2022 with a quantitative descriptive approach. Data were obtained from the open platform Kaggle and included total cases, recovered cases, and deaths per province each year. The two main epidemiological indicators analyzed were Case Fatality Rate (CFR) and Case Recovery Rate (CRR), which were used to measure the severity and effectiveness of COVID-19 treatment in each region. The analysis was conducted spatially and temporally and visualized using Tableau to highlight inequality between regions. The results show that 2021 is the peak of the pandemic with the highest number of cases and deaths nationally. Provinces on the island of Java, such as East Java, Central Java and DKI Jakarta are under enormous health system pressure, reflected in high CFR and low CRR. In contrast, provinces outside Java such as Papua, West Kalimantan and North Sulawesi show lower CFR and higher CRR, despite having fewer cases. This disparity indicates differences in health facility capacity, population density, effectiveness of data reporting, and speed of medical treatment between regions. Spatial visualization reinforces these findings by showing that areas with high mobility and dense urbanization tend to be centers of virus spread. This study emphasizes the importance of a region-based pandemic response strategy, tailored to local characteristics. Recommendations include strengthening health infrastructure, improving the quality of reporting and data recording systems, and developing data-based responsive policies. The results of this study are expected to serve as a reference in the formulation of more adaptive and equitable public health policies, as well as a basis for further research that is more in-depth with a multidimensional approach.
References
Abdullatif Khafaie, Morteza, and Fakher Rahim. 2021. “Estimating Case Fatality and Case Recovery Rates of COVID-19: Is This the Right Thing to Do?” Central Asian Journal of Global Health 10(1). doi:10.5195/cajgh.2021.489.
Carter, A., Nguyen, C. N., & Huynh, T. 2020. “Spatio-Temporal Visualization of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Canada.” International Journal of Health Geographics 19(41).
“Covid19-Indonesia @ Www.Kaggle.Com.” https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/hendratno/covid19-indonesia.
Helwig, Nathaniel E, Sungjin Hong, and Elizabeth T Hsiao-wecksler. 2021. Metode Penelitian Kualitatif Dan Metode Penelitian Kuantitatif.
John W, Creswell. 2017. “John W, Creswell, Research Design: Qualitative, Quantitative, and Mixed Methods Approaches.”Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences 4(June): 3–5.
Julija Simpson,Viviana Albani, Zoe Bell, Clare Bambra, and Heather Brown. 2021. “Effects of Social Security Policy Reforms on Mental Health and Inequalities: A Systematic Review of Observational Studies in High-Income Countries.” Social Science & Medicine 272.
Khazanchi, R., Evans, C. T., & Marcelin, J. R. 2020. “Racism, Not Race, Drives Inequity Across the COVID-19 Continuum.” JAMA 324(3)(237–238).
Lewis, Sarah. 2015. “Qualitative Inquiry and Research Design: Choosing Among Five Approaches.” Health Promotion Practice 16(4): 473–75. doi:10.1177/1524839915580941.
Mahendradhata, Y., et al. 2021. “The COVID-19 Response in Indonesia: Lessons Learned and Challenges for the Future.” The Lancet Global Health 9.
Pramana, Setia, Yuniarti Yuniarti, Dede Yoga Paramartha, and Satria Bagus Panuntun. 2021. “Mobility Pattern Changes in Indonesia in Response to COVID-19.” Economics and Finance in Indonesia 67(1): 75. doi:10.47291/efi.v67i1.924.
Putri, Ririn Noviyanti. 2020. “Indonesia Dalam Menghadapi Pandemi Covid-19.” Jurnal Ilmiah Universitas Batanghari Jambi 20(2): 705. doi:10.33087/jiubj.v20i2.1010.
Rijanta.R, Baiquni.M. 2020. “16 | Rembug Pageblug.” Rembug Pageblug Dampak, Respons Dan Konsekuensi Pandemi Covid-19 Dalam Dinamika Wila.
Seet, Raymond Chee Seong, Amy May Lin Quek, Delicia Shu Qin Ooi, Sharmila Sengupta, Satish Ramapatna Lakshminarasappa, Chieh Yang Koo, Jimmy Bok Yan So, et al. 2021. “Positive Impact of Oral Hydroxychloroquine and Povidone-Iodine Throat Spray for COVID-19 Prophylaxis: An Open-Label Randomized Trial.” International Journal of Infectious Diseases 106: 314–22. doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2021.04.035.
Sohrabi, Catrin, Zaid Alsafi, Niamh O’Neill, Mehdi Khan, Ahmed Kerwan, Ahmed Al-Jabir, Christos Iosifidis, and Riaz Agha. 2020. “World Health Organization Declares Global Emergency: A Review of the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19).” International Journal of Surgery 76(February): 71–76. doi:10.1016/j.ijsu.2020.02.034.
Susilo, Adityo, Chyntia Olivia Maurine Jasirwan, Syahidatul Wafa, Suzy Maria, Wulyo Rajabto, Akhmadu Muradi, Ihza Fachriza, Myranda Zahrah Putri, and Stacy Gabriella. 2022. “Mutasi Dan Varian Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): Tinjauan Literatur Terkini.” Jurnal Penyakit Dalam Indonesia 9(1): 59. doi:10.7454/jpdi.v9i1.648.
Susilo, Adityo, Cleopas Martin Rumende, Ceva Wicaksono Pitoyo, Widayat Djoko Santoso, Mira Yulianti, Herikurniawan Herikurniawan, Robert Sinto, et al. 2020. “Coronavirus Disease 2019: Tinjauan Literatur Terkini.” Jurnal Penyakit Dalam Indonesia 7(1): 45. doi:10.7454/jpdi.v7i1.415.
Tu, Huilan, Sheng Tu, Shiqi Gao, Anwen Shao, and Jifang Sheng. 2020. “Current Epidemiological and Clinical Features of COVID-19; a Global Perspective from China.” Journal of Infection 81(1): 1–9. doi:10.1016/j.jinf.2020.04.011.
Widiawaty, Millary Agung, Kuok Choy Lam, Moh Dede, and Nur Hakimah Asnawi. 2022. “Spatial Differentiation and Determinants of COVID-19 in Indonesia.” BMC Public Health 22(1): 1–16. doi:10.1186/s12889-022-13316-4.
Yuliana. 2020. “WELLNESS AND HEALTHY MAGAZINE Literatur.” Parque de los afectos. Jóvenes que cuentan 2(February): 124–37.
Zhao, Rui, Yusha Tao, and Lei Zhang. 2021. “Can Social Media-Based Self-Testing Be a New Paradigm for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Testing in China?” Clinical Infectious Diseases 73(7): E2258–60. doi:10.1093/cid/ciaa817.
